Sundancer nailed it. I think Americans will be oblivious to the disease until we see bloated cows being tossed in a bonfire like they had to do in Britain. Either that, or they won’t care until CJD makes its presence known seriously here in this country. It’s not a bacteria or a virus…it’s a protein. The health world really doesn’t know how to tackle this. If you’ve ever given blood, you know all the questions they ask and what can keep you from donating. Now it will be…have you eaten beef or a beef-by-product in the past 10 years? Can you imagine what that will do to the blood supply? Capnhank and jelybeans are going to be the only ones out there rolling up their sleeves. The trickle down from this could be horrendous. It does not bode well for anyone!
Al, based on many stories I read from many different sources, I believe that prices will drop due to decreased demand. This decrease in demand will come from the Mad Cow Disease and the effect of countries banning our beef. Without the pounds being purchased for export, the suppliers will be forced to unload the beef here and I believe they will drop their prices.
This does not bode well for beef producers.
Al: The mad cow disease presents a serious problem in several different ways:
1: The cattle farmers will experience a serious financial setback immediately. I have a friend that has 500 beef cattle. More than like likely the price will drop like a rock and he will experience at least in the short run a several hundred thousand dollar price drop.
2: Even more serious is the threat of Creutzfield Jacob disease which is prion based and not as understood as a virus. The incubation time of this disease is a decade. It is very concerning to the blood industry as they do not know how to test effectively. Blood transfusions will be affected.
3: The short term and long term problems of this is crazy as the beef prices is the least of the problems. Eventually all countries will be affected. I saw where most of the world today has banned US beef. Canada and England has already been affected. Soon it will be the rest of the world. The real problems is not this. It is the health of the world. Prions are not understood and can be communicable and there will be no immunization.
One cow out of about 50 million does not seem like a problem, but prions are.
Paul E. Smith
We have watched as the Beef market has manipulated the prices of consumer Meat to the point where the average person will cut back on buying and eating it. Prices have risen well over 50% in less than 6 months time. Various reasons for the increase have been spread all over the media…Lower production, increased red-meat consumption by the public, Feed costs, The Mid-Eastern War (?), and a host of other B S reasons.
Today we have a bulletin about a genuine Pissed-Off Bovine, I am reluctant to say MAD-COW ! Apparently in a herd in Moses Lake Washington. ( I must say if I were confined in a herd in Moses Lake, Washington, I would probably display signs of mental illness also). So the various groups who normally run around in circles preventing the spread of such stuff, are doing just that..
My question for the clarivoants in the group is— What can we expect from the announcement of this incident? (assuming it is genuine) What will the resulting action do to the market for Beef?
Come on give it a shot…You may be right!
1. decrease demand resulting in the lowering of prices to increase consumption.
2. decrease supply due to destruction of herds, resulting in a major shortage, with a related major increase in price.
3. No effect, people will ignore the whole thing and blame it on the Special Interest Lobbiests.
4. Pork and other meat prices will rise sharply as a result of increased demand from the former beef consumers.
More and More Possible Answers. You choose and explain.[:I]
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